| Course Name |
Probability for Engineers
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Code
|
Semester
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Theory
(hour/week) |
Application/Lab
(hour/week) |
Local Credits
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ECTS
|
|
MATH 240
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SPRING
|
3
|
0
|
3
|
6
|
| Prerequisites | MATH 154 To get a grade of at least FD | |||||
| Course Language | English | |||||
| Course Type | Required (Core Course) | |||||
| Course Level | First Cycle | |||||
| Mode of Delivery | face to face | |||||
| Teaching Methods and Techniques of the Course | Lecture / Presentation | |||||
| National Occupational Classification Code | - | |||||
| Course Coordinator |
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| Course Lecturer(s) |
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| Assistant(s) | - | |||||
| Course Objectives | This course aims to introduce students the theory of probability and its applications to engineering problems. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Learning Outcomes |
The students who succeeded in this course;
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| Course Description | In this course some important theorems about probability are investigated. In addition, applications of random variables and their probability distributions are discussed. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Related Sustainable Development Goals |
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Core Courses |
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| Major Area Courses |
X
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| Supportive Courses |
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| Media and Managment Skills Courses |
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| Transferable Skill Courses |
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| Week | Subjects | Required Materials | Learning Outcome |
| 1 | Sample space and events | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Probability”, Chap. 2 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 18-23. | - |
| 2 | Events and counting sample points | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Probability”, Chap. 2 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 21-26. | - |
| 3 | Counting sample points, probability of an event and additive rules | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Probability”, Chap. 2 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 23-31. | - |
| 4 | Additive rules, conditional probability of an event | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Probability”, Chap. 2 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 29-38. | - |
| 5 | Bayes’ rule | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Probability”, Chap. 2 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 39-40. | - |
| 6 | Concept of random variable and discrete random variable | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Probability”, Chap. 2 and “Discrete random variable and Probability Distributions”, Chap. 3 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 40-43. | - |
| 7 | Discrete probability distributions, expected value and variance of discrete random variable | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Discrete random variable and Probability Distributions”, Chap. 3 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 43-49. | - |
| 8 | Uniform, Binomial, Negative Binomial, Hypergeometric, Poisson distributions (vaccine efficacy, epidemics, communicable diseases, traffic accidents, environmental pollution) | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Discrete random variable and Probability Distributions”, Chap. 3 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 49-65. | - |
| 9 | Midterm Exam | - | |
| 10 | Continuous probability distributions, expected value and variance of continuous random variable | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Continuous random variable and Probability Distributions”, Chap. 4 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 67-72. | - |
| 11 | Uniform, Normal, areas under the normal curve, applications of the normal dist. and exponential distribution | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Continuous random variable and Probability Distributions”, Chap. 4 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 73-86. | - |
| 12 | Joint probability distributions | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Joint Probability Distributions”, Chap. 5 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 100-113. | - |
| 13 | Joint probability distributions, variance and covariance | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Joint Probability Distributions”, Chap. 5 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 100-113. | - |
| 14 | Multinomial distributions, linear functions of random variables, moment-generating functions | Douglas C. Montgomery, Geroge C. Runger, “Joint Probability Distributions”, Chap. 5 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th Edition (United States of America: Wiley, 2018), 113-114, 117-120, 121-124. | - |
| 16 | Semester review | - | |
| 17 | Final Exam | - |
| Course Notes/Textbooks |
Douglas C. Montgomery Geroge C. Runger Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers 7th Ed. (United States of America: Wiley 2018). ISBN: 978-1-119-40036-3 |
| Suggested Readings/Materials |
Ronald E. Walpole Raymond H. Myers Sharon L. Myers Keying Ye Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists 9th Edition (United States of America: Pearson 2017). ISBN-13: 978-0321629111 William Navidi Statistics for Engineers and Scientists 5th Ed. (United States of America: Mc-Graw Hill 2019) ISBN-13: 978-1260547887 |
| Semester Activities | Number | Weighting | LO1 | LO2 | LO3 | LO4 | LO5 | LO6 |
| Final Exam | 1 | 50 | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Midterm | 1 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Quizzes / Studio Critiques | 1 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Total | 3 | 100 |
| Semester Activities | Number | Duration (Hours) | Workload |
|---|---|---|---|
| Participation | - | - | - |
| Theoretical Course Hours | 16 | 3 | 48 |
| Laboratory / Application Hours | - | - | - |
| Study Hours Out of Class | 14 | 3 | 42 |
| Field Work | - | - | - |
| Quizzes / Studio Critiques | 2 | 10 | 20 |
| Portfolio | - | - | - |
| Homework / Assignments | - | - | - |
| Presentation / Jury | - | - | - |
| Project | - | - | - |
| Seminar / Workshop | - | - | - |
| Oral Exams | - | - | - |
| Midterms | 1 | 30 | 30 |
| Final Exam | 1 | 40 | 40 |
| Total | 180 |
| # | PC Sub | Program Competencies/Outcomes | * Contribution Level | ||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |||
| 1 |
Engineering Knowledge: Knowledge of mathematics, science, basic engineering, computation, and related engineering discipline-specific topics; the ability to apply this knowledge to solve complex engineering problems. |
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| 1 |
Mathematics |
LO1 LO2 LO3 LO4 LO5 LO6 | |||||
| 2 |
Science |
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| 3 |
Basic Engineering |
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| 4 |
Computation |
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| 5 |
Related engineering discipline-specific topics |
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| 6 |
The ability to apply this knowledge to solve complex engineering problems |
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| 2 |
Problem Analysis: Ability to identify, formulate and analyze complex engineering problems using basic knowledge of science, mathematics and engineering, and considering the UN Sustainable Development Goals relevant to the problem being addressed. |
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| 3 |
Engineering Design: The ability to devise creative solutions to complex engineering problems; the ability to design complex systems, processes, devices or products to meet current and future needs, considering realistic constraints and conditions. |
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| 1 |
Ability to design creative solutions to complex engineering problems |
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| 2 |
Ability to design complex systems, processes, devices or products to meet current and future needs, considering realistic constraints and conditions |
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| 4 |
Use of Techniques and Tools: Ability to select and use appropriate techniques, resources, and modern engineering and computing tools, including estimation and modeling, for the analysis and solution of complex engineering problems, while recognizing their limitations. |
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| 5 |
Research and Investigation: Ability to use research methods to investigate complex engineering problems, including literature research, designing and conducting experiments, collecting data, and analyzing and interpreting results. |
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| 1 |
Literature research for the study of complex engineering problems |
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| 2 |
Designing experiments |
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| 3 |
Ability to use research methods, including conducting experiments, collecting data. analyzing and interpreting results |
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| 6 |
Global Impact of Engineering Practices: Knowledge of the impacts of engineering practices on society, health and safety, economy, sustainability, and the environment, within the context of the UN Sustainable Development Goals; awareness of the legal implications of engineering solutions. |
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| 1 |
Knowledge of the impacts of engineering practices on society, health and safety, economy, sustainability, and the environment, within the context of the UN Sustainable Development Goals |
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| 2 |
Awareness of the legal implications of engineering solutions |
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| 7 |
Ethical Behavior: Acting in accordance with the principles of the engineering profession, knowledge about ethical responsibility; awareness of being impartial, without discrimination, and being inclusive of diversity. |
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| 1 |
Acting in accordance with the principles of the engineering profession, knowledge about ethical responsibility ethical responsibility |
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| 2 |
Awareness of being impartial and inclusive of diversity, without discriminating on any subject |
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| 8 |
Individual and Teamwork: Ability to work effectively, individually and as a team member or leader on interdisciplinary and multidisciplinary teams (face-to-face, remote or hybrid). |
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| 1 |
Ability to work individually and within the discipline |
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| 2 |
Ability to work effectively as a team member or leader in multidisciplinary teams (face-to-face, remote or hybrid) |
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| 9 |
Verbal and Written Communication: Taking into account the various differences of the target audience (such as education, language, profession) on technical issues. |
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| 1 |
Ability to communicate verbally |
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| 2 |
Ability to communicate effectively in writing |
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| 10 |
Project Management: Knowledge of business practices such as project management and economic feasibility analysis; awareness of entrepreneurship and innovation. |
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| 1 |
Knowledge of business practices such as project management and economic feasibility analysis |
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| 2 |
Awareness of entrepreneurship and innovation |
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| 11 |
Lifelong Learning: Lifelong learning skills that include being able to learn independently and continuously, adapting to new and developing technologies, and thinking questioningly about technological changes. |
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*1 Lowest, 2 Low, 3 Average, 4 High, 5 Highest
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